Natalie Hood via Getty ImagesHigh pressure has been firmly established over the North Sea for about a week, creating calm and stable weather across the UK.
With the high pressure to the east we’re experiencing a southerly airflow, which is bringing milder temperatures than usual.
On Wednesday and Thursday, some areas in the northern Highlands, Moray, and Aberdeenshire could see temperatures soar to 16C — about five degrees above the seasonal average.
The widespread cloud cover is also playing a role in keeping night-time temperatures relatively mild, although areas with clearer skies may experience a slight chill after dark.
Looking ahead to mid-November, we can expect above-average temperatures and continued quiet weather. Beyond that, it’s harder to predict, but indications suggest a return to more variable conditions, with the usual swings between colder and milder air — though I don’t expect anything particularly drastic at this stage.
The prevailing high pressure means we can expect a break from storms for the next few weeks, with any potential storms being deflected to the north and south of the UK. This pattern is also linked to the recent severe flooding in parts of Spain. For now, no named storms should appear in my forecasts.
However, there are some signs of pressure rises to our north and near Greenland, which could usher in some colder and more wintry weather later in the month – something I’ll watch.
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